Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines spoke to Congress on Tuesday, the place she shared their theories on Putin’s plans for the subsequent part of his invasion of Ukraine.
She instructed the Senate Armed Services Committee “we are not confident the fighting in Donbas will effectively end the war” and claimed that Putin is “preparing for a prolonged conflict in Ukraine, during which he still intends to achieve goals beyond the Donbas”.
Since his armies withdrew from the remainder of the nation Putin is claimed to be concentrating his forces on the jap Donbas area, the place Russian-backed separatists presently management Donetsk and Luhansk.
Ms Haines said that the Kremlin’s subsequent army strikes will become more and more troublesome to foretell as a result of “mismatch between [Putin’s] ambitions and Russia’s current conventional military capabilities”.
She continued: “At the very least, we believe the dichotomy will usher in a period of more ad hoc decision-making in Russia, both with respect to the domestic adjustments required to sustain this push, as well as the military conflict with Ukraine and the West.
“And the current trend increases the likelihood that President Putin will turn to more drastic means, including imposing martial law, reorienting industrial production, or potentially escalatory military actions to free up the resources needed to achieve his objectives as the conflict drags on, or if he perceives Russia is losing in Ukraine.”
There are issues that Moscow will set their sights on different targets outdoors Ukraine, together with presumably constructing a land bridge to Moldova, reported CNN.
However with a view to do that Putin would wish to launch a full army mobilisation inside Russia, one thing he has not but executed.
US Defence Intelligence Agency head Lieutenant General Scott Berrier stated the battle is presently at a “stalemate”, whereas Ms Haines has described it as a “war of attrition” and believes there may be not in the meanwhile a “viable negotiating path”.
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She stated that Putin would probably solely flip to nuclear weapons if he “perceived an existential threat either to his regime or to Russia”.
This may happen if he believed NATO was about to intervene within the war in Ukraine.
Ms Haines eased fears by saying: “There are a lot of things that he [Putin] would do in the context of escalation before he would get to a nuclear weapon.
“And also that he would be likely to engage in some signalling beyond what he’s done thus far before doing so.”