Sturgeon could spark England’s breakaway from rest of UK ‒ ex-Welsh First Minister claimed | UK | News

Nicola Sturgeon: ‘No appetite’ for elimination says commentator

Scotland’s First Minister is pushing for a second independence referendum as Holyrood’s May elections strategy and the Scottish National Party (SNP) continues to take pleasure in recognition within the polls. She has stated that if the SNP wins a transparent majority in May, then the social gathering will transfer to carry a “legal referendum”. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, in the meantime, has repeatedly refused to entertain the thought of a second vote.

He beforehand recommended {that a} extra real looking date for an Indyref2 could be 2055 – amounting to the identical interval of time elapsed between Britain’s two Brexit votes.

Yet, as Professor Robert Johns, an instructional who specialises in Scottish politics informed Express.co.uk, the SNP look virtually sure to win in May, and thus pave the way in which for Ms Sturgeon to ascertain her referendum.

Should Scotland depart the UK, senior figures in politics have recommended a series response could come into impact.

This string of occasions, based on former Welsh Labour First Minister Carwyn Jones, would result in England dropping by the wayside and likewise leaving the UK.

Nicola Sturgeon: The First Minister’s independence push could power England to depart the Union (Image: GETTY)

Indyref2: Sturgeon has loved renewed help in the course of the pandemic (Image: GETTY)

He made the feedback to DW News in 2019 forward of the final election, through which Welsh Labour lost 59 seats however held on to a slim majority within the Senedd.

This was largely a end result of Welsh Labour’s ambiguity on the UK’s position within the EU, as over 52 p.c of individuals voted to depart in 2016.

As the prospect of a no deal Brexit loomed on the time, the question of independence as soon as once more drifted into the general public psyche.

Mr Jones stated: “We could stand alone, but the question is whether we should.

“I consider not. We are a partnership of 4 nations.”

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Carwyn Jones: The former First Minister said Wales could ‘stand alone’ (Image: GETTY)

Wales currently spends more than it raises, and has no track record of borrowing.

Mr Jones said that Wales exported 60 percent of its products to the EU’s single market, “however most of that’s to England”, a point which he said meant Wales could be independent “by default”.

This spurred the former First Minister to suggest that an independent Scotland could spark a scenario in which Wales is left isolated without the support of England, which Welsh pro-Union figures have held on to.

Mr Jones said: “If Scotland goes and Northern Ireland decides to hitch a united Ireland, England and Wales alone wouldn’t work and perhaps the English would go away us.”

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Adam Prince: The Plaid Cymru leader says Wales has deep ties to Europe (Image: GETTY)

People’s Vote: Price supported a People’s Vote in the Brexit referendum (Image: GETTY)

The only party with any significant leverage in Wales that would offer independence is Plaid Cymru.

In his 2018 book, ‘Wales: The First & Final Colony’, Plaid’s leader Adam Price says the party would begin rolling out its independence plans if it is successful in May’s election.

Independence has gained momentum in Wales in recent years.

Polls differ, but a YouGov survey released in January found that 31 percent of Welsh voters want an independence referendum in the next five years, compared to 47 percent of those who are against the idea.

Sturgeon news: The SNP leader took over after the 2014 referendum (Image: Express Newspapers)

This is far off the support that independence has in Scotland, which more than half of the population want.

Yet, as the renowned historian Robert Tombs told Express.co.uk, even that might prove precarious.

He reflected on the Brexit vote and cited evidence that showed as many as two-thirds of Britons not liking the EU, but the vote only amounted to 52 percent.

Prof Tombs said: “If you consider the Brexit referendum, loads of individuals did not just like the EU, with some proof that as many as two thirds of individuals weren’t eager on it.

“Yet, only just over half voted to leave because of the economic risks, among other things.

“It appears to me in the event you assume that Scotland is analogous, you’d must have a minimum of two thirds of the Scottish voters saying they needed independence earlier than it grew to become a critical prospect.

“As far as I know it’s only just over the 50 percent mark, and I can’t believe that’s anywhere near enough to make it happen when there’s such a serious campaign about it already under way.”

Boris Johnson: The PM has repeatedly refused to entertain the idea of an Indyref2 (Image: GETTY)

In Wales, many have noted that the crucial obstacle Plaid faces is a policy that is similar to the SNP’s: That it wishes to break away from the UK but wants EU membership.

Mr Price has justified this discrepancy by claiming that “Wales and Europe have all the time been tightly woven collectively like a Celtic knot”, highlighting the age-old relationship the Welsh have had with their European neighbours in the face of English adversity.

But the data shows it is difficult to reconcile this historical relationship with a Welsh population who want to leave their ties with Brussels behind them.

However, a poll carried out by ITV last month suggested the tide may be turning.

There, 44 percent of Welsh voters said they would vote Yes in an EU membership vote, while 38 percent said they would reject it, the trend clearly in line with a growth in support for independence.

Meawhile, Mr Johnson has thrown his weight behind a campaign to stop Scotland from leaving the Union.

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