From the begin of the pandemic, lockdown technique has been pushed not a lot by the an infection rate as such, however by the National Health Service’s capability to manage.
Lockdowns are imposed when the system exhibits indicators of being overwhelmed. Despite the alarmism of some media experiences, there’s not a lot signal of that in the present outbreak, even when a nasty flu season may but tip issues over the edge.
Even so, the strains on the well being service are already evident. Quite aside from the backlog of elective surgical procedure and different remedies that now wants clearing, the pandemic appears to have turned us right into a nation of Dr Googling hypochondriacs, which I’m instructed is in itself placing unprecedented stress on the well being service.
Be that as it could, it beggar’s perception that with all that’s occurred the nation may nonetheless be unprepared for a winter crunch.
Obviously it could have been vastly costly to maintain all these Nightingale amenities on standby and absolutely staffed; even in the first wave, they had been scarcely used. But no matter the prices of sustaining them, they might pale into insignificance towards the economic affect of one other all embracing lockdown. Slightly little bit of insurance coverage is usually nicely value the money.
Instead the Government is counting on vaccines alone to get us by way of the coming months. It’s an enormous gamble. Let’s hope it pays off.
Would, and even may, ministers get away with the imposition of one other spherical of oppressive social distancing measures?
Even as a final resort, it could be politically explosive. By taking the view that the pandemic is basically over, the Government has left itself dangerously uncovered.